The Class of 2030

Firetail have just published some original research in the future of Global Higher Education.


It’s had some nice launch coverage in the Times Higher Education Supplement:

Andy Martin, director of Firetail, said that while “the top few hundred ranks [in the URAP] are pretty stable”, there is much more volatility in the mid-ranked positions below the top 500. Within this range he identified Australia, China, Poland and Turkey as key countries that are moving up, while the US, Japan, Canada and the UK are generally losing ground.

“It’ll come as no surprise that Chinese universities are making the most dramatic gains” in the middle of the ranking, he told THE. “Their average position has gained from around 1,300 to nearer 950.”

He said that the most interesting characteristic is that these universities are deliberately planning for global success, adding that they are “globally aware and outward-looking, but take into account their local and social context”.

“For now, they will not replace elite universities or make them less relevant, but they are quickly improving and if traditional players don’t respond they will keep on rising straight to the top,” he added.

Mr Martin said that the main challenge faced by rising universities in strong higher education climates will be “finding a point of difference and a distinct place in the landscape” while those with a less established higher education and research and development environment will rely heavily on government policy and investment.

The full report is here: